Indigo
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Post by Indigo on Aug 8, 2013 1:37:53 GMT
Oh, hey, I just noticed something. Based on the way Smunk wrote the scene, it sounds like, while the doctor protected the wrong person, whoever they protected was NOT in the mafia. I don't know if the doctor noticed that, so I'm pointing it out because that seems like it might help in creating a townie alliance. Wouldn't it be messed up if the doctor ALSO happened to be a mafia member though? Anyways, judging from how Smunk did the assigning, it was a random number generator, and I don't think that Smunk would be silly enough to make a mafia member the doctor at the same time.
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Post by Poli on Aug 8, 2013 1:43:00 GMT
Oh, hey, I just noticed something. Based on the way Smunk wrote the scene, it sounds like, while the doctor protected the wrong person, whoever they protected was NOT in the mafia. I don't know if the doctor noticed that, so I'm pointing it out because that seems like it might help in creating a townie alliance. Wouldn't it be messed up if the doctor ALSO happened to be a mafia member though? Anyways, judging from how Smunk did the assigning, it was a random number generator, and I don't think that Smunk would be silly enough to make a mafia member the doctor at the same time. Heh, no - I mean that the last alien "comes through the door" to where all the other aliens are and then says he "saw another one out guarding someone." That sounds like both the doctor and the person the doctor was guarding were "out" somewhere that the aliens are not, and would thus imply that whoever the doctor guarded last night is not an alien. At least, that's what I'm guessing.
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Indigo
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Post by Indigo on Aug 8, 2013 1:45:35 GMT
Wouldn't it be messed up if the doctor ALSO happened to be a mafia member though? Anyways, judging from how Smunk did the assigning, it was a random number generator, and I don't think that Smunk would be silly enough to make a mafia member the doctor at the same time. Heh, no - I mean that the last alien "comes through the door" to where all the other aliens are and then says he "saw another one out guarding someone." That sounds like both the doctor and the person the doctor was guarding were "out" somewhere that the aliens are not, and would thus imply that whoever the doctor guarded last night is not an alien. At least, that's what I'm guessing. Ah, that makes sense. Now I need to read the narrative again to get more clues. What we know now: Two of the mafia members are male. Doctor is not a mafia member (?)
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 1:46:57 GMT
or maybe the guarding was stalking misinterpreted and they're really a serial killer.
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Post by Poli on Aug 8, 2013 1:47:51 GMT
or maybe the guarding was stalking misinterpreted and they're really a serial killer. This game is complicated.
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Indigo
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Post by Indigo on Aug 8, 2013 1:51:07 GMT
or maybe the guarding was stalking misinterpreted and they're really a serial killer. This game is complicated. Why would the serial killer stalk someone? That doesn't make sense? Doctors can thwart the mafia members, but serial killers help them.
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SCIENCE
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Post by SCIENCE on Aug 8, 2013 1:52:47 GMT
This game is complicated. Why would the serial killer stalk someone? That doesn't make sense? Doctors can thwart the mafia members, but serial killers help them. Except that I think that serial killer will also kill mafia.
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 1:53:33 GMT
because Smunk is a writer, and serial killers would stalk their prey before killing them
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Post by smunkee on Aug 8, 2013 1:54:57 GMT
Why would the serial killer stalk someone? That doesn't make sense? Doctors can thwart the mafia members, but serial killers help them. Except that I think that serial killer will also kill mafia. The serial killer role can kill whoever the fuck they want after the third day. They are neither townie or mafia and exist solely to exist.
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Indigo
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Post by Indigo on Aug 8, 2013 1:57:08 GMT
Why would the serial killer stalk someone? That doesn't make sense? Doctors can thwart the mafia members, but serial killers help them. Except that I think that serial killer will also kill mafia. I thought that was a given. because Smunk is a writer, and serial killers would stalk their prey before killing them *shrugs* Sure.
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 1:59:27 GMT
Are we any closer to a decision? Whatever we call the nearest star on this planet is getting awfully close to the horizon.
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Post by smunkee on Aug 8, 2013 2:05:29 GMT
You all have approx. 30 hours to figure this shit out.
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Indigo
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Post by Indigo on Aug 8, 2013 2:15:20 GMT
Members of this game:
Poli Agritum thesteelmagnolia The God Damned Batman heavymetalcommissar Ifreann ainin crazydwarf caninope
napkiraly dogdoo7 Indigo lablaat
United Dependencies
blue = male
strike = dead
So out of there, 9/12 still living members of this town are male, and 4/12 of this group are mafia members. Presuming I'm doing the statistics correctly, we have the following probabilities:
P(male U mafia) = (9/12)(4/12) = 36/144 P(~ male U mafia) = (3/12)(4/12) = 12/144
This means that we have a higher probability of choosing a male as a mafia member.
Now from that, I recall that The God Damned Batman was accused by Napkiraly the day scene before. The next day scene, Nap was dead. This puts suspicion on The God Damned Batman, as he was the target of Napkiraly's accusation.
Hence, I'm tempted to vote for The God Damned Batman.
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Dipshit
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Post by Dipshit on Aug 8, 2013 2:23:22 GMT
Except I didn't vote for him did I? No ill will. Besides wouldn't that be stupidly obvious?
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 2:25:11 GMT
Okay, here's an observation...
Description says the Serial Killer wants to sow Chaos.
Ifreann has had less than a handful of posts on this thread. 2-3 have been "Space Pirates" or "Space Pirate Disco" or a comment about how strange the discussion had turned. There's been no contribution to the discussion or lynching.
Vote: Ifreann
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Indigo
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Post by Indigo on Aug 8, 2013 2:25:14 GMT
Except I didn't vote for him did I? No ill will. Besides wouldn't that be stupidly obvious? I didn't say you voted for him, I said "you were accused by Nap and Nap was found dead next day". Two different things, Mr. Batlawyer.
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Dipshit
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Post by Dipshit on Aug 8, 2013 2:30:05 GMT
Why would I risk killing him and outing myself when I could be pushed to have him lynched? In fact since I was so close the first time killing someone who accused me would he a great way to make me look guilty doesn't it?
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Post by לשנה הבאה בפולי on Aug 8, 2013 4:30:05 GMT
Essentially yes. Also, it won't be 1/3, it's be P(The God Damned Batman | mafia), which (off the top of my head) would be (1/13)(4/13) or a 4/269 (about 1.49%) chance that NA's a member. Since I know I'm not mafia, the odds of any given person out of the twelve people who aren't me being mafia ought to be 4/12, I would think? Also, getting out of stats for a minute - it occurs to me that mafia members would very possibly prefer not to draw attention to themselves. I think we might want to consider lynching someone who has been active on the forum as a whole in the past couple of days but suspiciously quiet in this thread. Which, looking at the list of players, looks like it would apply to both Agritum and Dogdoo7. ...come to think of it, a pooping dog could be said to have "poor impulse control," right? I don't know if that was meant to be a clue, but it's all we've got to go on right now. Barring a better suggestion, I vote Dogdoo7. That's a bit of a reach. I was quiet because information is lacking at this moment. I would vote you but that would just be petty. So I'll vote Batman instead.
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Post by Iffy McIffyface on Aug 8, 2013 20:43:49 GMT
or maybe the guarding was stalking misinterpreted and they're really a serial killer. This game is complicated. What if there is no mafia?
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Post by Iffy McIffyface on Aug 8, 2013 20:47:44 GMT
Okay, here's an observation... Description says the Serial Killer wants to sow Chaos. Ifreann has had less than a handful of posts on this thread. 2-3 have been "Space Pirates" or "Space Pirate Disco" or a comment about how strange the discussion had turned. There's been no contribution to the discussion or lynching. Vote: Ifreann I don't think not helping counts as sowing chaos. And I'm mostly not helping because I have no idea who to lynch. Also because I keep forgetting to read this thread.
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 22:35:24 GMT
Okay, here's an observation... Description says the Serial Killer wants to sow Chaos. Ifreann has had less than a handful of posts on this thread. 2-3 have been "Space Pirates" or "Space Pirate Disco" or a comment about how strange the discussion had turned. There's been no contribution to the discussion or lynching. Vote: Ifreann I don't think not helping counts as sowing chaos. And I'm mostly not helping because I have no idea who to lynch. Also because I keep forgetting to read this thread. Maybe not sowing but being.
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SCIENCE
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Post by SCIENCE on Aug 8, 2013 22:36:59 GMT
I'm voting smurf.
(Modedit, in case Smunk didn't catch the silliness in General Chitchat: Smurf = Neo Art. I changed nothing else here. - Poli)
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 22:45:43 GMT
Is changing your name after people view to lynch you suspicious?
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SCIENCE
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Baaaad to the bone!
Heaven is other people.
Posts: 5,744
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Post by SCIENCE on Aug 8, 2013 22:46:12 GMT
Is changing your name after people view to lynch you suspicious? Well, I feel like Gargamel now...
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Post by Poli on Aug 8, 2013 22:48:47 GMT
Is changing your name after people view to lynch you suspicious? In fairness to Neo Art, he didn't change his name - I did. There is smurfy silliness going on in the General Chitchat forum.
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 8, 2013 23:02:55 GMT
Is changing your name after people view to lynch you suspicious? In fairness to Neo Art, he didn't change his name - I did. There is smurfy silliness going on in the General Chitchat forum. I have no knowledge of some other forum, but covering for bat, after having a potential link pointed out earlier is suspicious to me. Unvote: Ifrean Vote: Poli
If others are familiar with it, then they won't vote for you, so it'll be okay.
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Post by crazydwarf on Aug 9, 2013 1:14:59 GMT
I'll be out of town tomorrow morning. My grandmother's funeral is then. Don't know when Smunk and I will be back... would like to get the lynch done so the killers can make their decision while we're away.
Slowest. Lynch. Ever.
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Post by Poli on Aug 9, 2013 1:22:07 GMT
I'll be out of town tomorrow morning. My grandmother's funeral is then. Condolences.
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Post by smunkee on Aug 9, 2013 5:58:49 GMT
Also, my favorite lesbian is getting married so I'll be at a party related to that tomorrow night so Saturday morning (my time.... which is the same as Poli time I think) I will tally up and post the scene. Little bit more time for discussion/votes from those who haven't yet.
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Post by smunkee on Aug 10, 2013 17:07:59 GMT
Neo Art votes Chronzon laBlaat votes Neo Art Caninope votes Neo Art Poli votes Dogdoo7 Indigo votes Neo Art Crazydwarf votes Ifreann Dogdoo7 votes Neo Art Crazydwarf unvotes Ifreann Crazydwarf votes Poli
"I really didn't do it." Neo Art protested as he inched along towards the platform. "Obviously did, I mean.... probably." said the masked man holding the weapon.
One zap and it was all over. Waiting.....waiting......nope. Wrong one. Neo Art, an innocent townie, has died.
It is night. Mafia can send me their move. Doctor can send me their move.
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